Its pretty simple: Their businesses were built when it was cheap to borrow money. The pandemic caused large inflation. In response feds all around the world have greatly increased prime interest rates. Now their ‘run large deficits to expand’ business model is more expensive and they need to compete against increasingly valuable bonds as a competing source of investment. All of this means they need to aggressively chase improved profitability.
That seems like the reverse. The high rate environment made startups stingy which (along with that one newsletter saying SVB ran out of money) caused the run that killed SVB.
To be fair, SVB kind of did run out of money. They invested heavily into Treasuries, so as rates increased, their investments were devalued, which meant they wouldn’t be able to cover their debts if they sold everything or if withdrawals significantly outpaced contributions.
The banks that remained solvent diversified their investments.
The real cause of this is inflation. The Fed raised rates to combat inflation, and raising rates increases their own rate for borrowing, meaning Treasury yields increase, which means new Treasuries are more attractive than older Treasuries, which means older Treasuries sell for less than face value if not held to maturity. The causes of the rampant inflation are varied and include:
supply chain disruption, which led to increased prices due to COVID-19 related inefficiencies
government stimulus packages, which delayed demand changes due to supply chain disruption
shift in demand patterns due to stay at home orders, and a big shift back once those orders were lifted
a long period of near zero borrowing rates to “stimulate the economy” despite being in a bull market
delayed Fed response due to not wanting to destabilize the economy (end many thought supply chain issues would be short lived)
All of that combined led the Treasury rates to increase faster than most expected, which meant a lot of longer term Treasury investors were left holding depreciating investments.
In short, SVB ran too much risk and were punished for it.
Quit X. It sucks and now folks have an easy rationalization to do so
Fuck Reddit --> Lemmy
Lots of options to get around Yootube+ I wouldn’t be averse ro privately pay to help subsidize the inevitably insane cost of hosting and rendering old/current/new content but I know how Ggle will abuse being able to connect me in any way to it
I hope more people start doing something akin to Schrab Home Video, building live TV online on a shoe string budget just for fun and community. Creative tools are widespread enough that content is as easy to create as ever, and self hosted stuff is really taking off.
This sounds great on paper, but the network effect is the real issue here. I’m not leaving YouTube until the handful of channels I sub to leave YouTube. I left Twitter years before the acquisition because I didn’t use it much, and I left Reddit as soon as I saw the handful of communities I cared about here (I tried it out when Reddit announced the API change and stayed).
So for me, the last big service is YouTube. I’m excited about Grayjay, which seeks to abstract over platforms so you can use one app for all the content you want. I’m not using it yet, but I do use NewPipe to avoid YouTube’s nonsense.
I haven’t seen any ads and I use uBlock Origin on Firefox. The fact that Google feels this is necessary just shows that their profit model is broken. They should be getting money from content creators and power users, not from end users, and their job is to make the overall partnership with content creators profitable for both.
Twitter being ruined by Musk.
Reddit switching limiting other apps, and now blocking google.
YouTube detecting ad blockers.
Strange choices.
Its pretty simple: Their businesses were built when it was cheap to borrow money. The pandemic caused large inflation. In response feds all around the world have greatly increased prime interest rates. Now their ‘run large deficits to expand’ business model is more expensive and they need to compete against increasingly valuable bonds as a competing source of investment. All of this means they need to aggressively chase improved profitability.
SVB failing caused a lot of this.
That seems like the reverse. The high rate environment made startups stingy which (along with that one newsletter saying SVB ran out of money) caused the run that killed SVB.
To be fair, SVB kind of did run out of money. They invested heavily into Treasuries, so as rates increased, their investments were devalued, which meant they wouldn’t be able to cover their debts if they sold everything or if withdrawals significantly outpaced contributions.
The banks that remained solvent diversified their investments.
The real cause of this is inflation. The Fed raised rates to combat inflation, and raising rates increases their own rate for borrowing, meaning Treasury yields increase, which means new Treasuries are more attractive than older Treasuries, which means older Treasuries sell for less than face value if not held to maturity. The causes of the rampant inflation are varied and include:
All of that combined led the Treasury rates to increase faster than most expected, which meant a lot of longer term Treasury investors were left holding depreciating investments.
In short, SVB ran too much risk and were punished for it.
…how?
I hope more people start doing something akin to Schrab Home Video, building live TV online on a shoe string budget just for fun and community. Creative tools are widespread enough that content is as easy to create as ever, and self hosted stuff is really taking off.
I have such a soft spot for like randomly produced zero-production-value content. We all likely started there and I never get tired of it.
Keep it shitty. Modern folk tale style.
One of my fave parts of Sunny if not my fave is their collection of shitty footage they’ve shot and archived for various schemes. So relatable
This sounds great on paper, but the network effect is the real issue here. I’m not leaving YouTube until the handful of channels I sub to leave YouTube. I left Twitter years before the acquisition because I didn’t use it much, and I left Reddit as soon as I saw the handful of communities I cared about here (I tried it out when Reddit announced the API change and stayed).
So for me, the last big service is YouTube. I’m excited about Grayjay, which seeks to abstract over platforms so you can use one app for all the content you want. I’m not using it yet, but I do use NewPipe to avoid YouTube’s nonsense.
Thats all I mean honestly + samesies
That Doctorow essay seems appropriate: https://pluralistic.net/2023/07/28/microincentives-and-enshittification/
@antidote101 @narwhal, the self-defense of monopolies, when their empire begins to collapse.
PS , apart of the adblock this will also help in YT
https://greasyfork.org/en/scripts/477725-youtube-iframe-adblocker
I haven’t seen any ads and I use uBlock Origin on Firefox. The fact that Google feels this is necessary just shows that their profit model is broken. They should be getting money from content creators and power users, not from end users, and their job is to make the overall partnership with content creators profitable for both.