"The gender demographic tells a story to keep an eye on. Propelled by female voters in just the past few weeks, the head-to-head tie with Trump morphs into a modest lead for Biden," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
Also interesting to note that the this same poll has Haley beating Biden by 5 points if Trump is not on the ballot and Haley is the Republican nominee .
However, put Biden and Haley on a larger ballot with RFK Jr and the other nobodies running on 3rd party tickets, and Biden ends up winning again.
There is also zero chance Trump doesn’t run. Either he’s the nominee or he runs third-party and splits the vote. His ego (and legal trouble) simply won’t allow him to sit this one out.
If Trump is not the nominee, or if he is judicially removed from the ballot, then he will still run as a write-in candidate.
And even if he doesn’t run a write-in campaign, plenty of his supporters will write him in anyway
And even if he would get struck by lightning and pass away prior to November, his supporters would likely just write in Don Jr or Vivek or someone similar.
Under no circumstances is Nikki Haley ever getting even 80% of Trump supporters to vote for her in November. And if she can’t get that, then there is no way she can beat Biden. A Nikki Haley victory in 2024 is not plausible
or if he is judicially removed from the ballot, then he will still run as a write-in candidate.
He’s being removed from the ballot in states because they consider him ineligible to be president. That’s not something that gets solved by a write-in.
Also interesting to note that the this same poll has Haley beating Biden by 5 points if Trump is not on the ballot and Haley is the Republican nominee .
However, put Biden and Haley on a larger ballot with RFK Jr and the other nobodies running on 3rd party tickets, and Biden ends up winning again.
There is also zero chance Trump doesn’t run. Either he’s the nominee or he runs third-party and splits the vote. His ego (and legal trouble) simply won’t allow him to sit this one out.
If Trump is not the nominee, or if he is judicially removed from the ballot, then he will still run as a write-in candidate.
And even if he doesn’t run a write-in campaign, plenty of his supporters will write him in anyway
And even if he would get struck by lightning and pass away prior to November, his supporters would likely just write in Don Jr or Vivek or someone similar.
Under no circumstances is Nikki Haley ever getting even 80% of Trump supporters to vote for her in November. And if she can’t get that, then there is no way she can beat Biden. A Nikki Haley victory in 2024 is not plausible
Biden could also die before the election. He’s no spring chicken. Then maybe we get Haley vs Harris? Or some other dems jump into the primary race.
He’s being removed from the ballot in states because they consider him ineligible to be president. That’s not something that gets solved by a write-in.
That doesn’t change the fact that his supporters will write him in even if he is found dead on the shitter