Prediction Markets Have an Elections Problem

asteriskmag.com

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Prediction Markets Have an Elections Problem

asteriskmag.com

copacetic@discuss.tchncs.deM to

forecasting@discuss.tchncs.deEnglish · 9 months ago

cross-posted to:
becomeme
[email protected]

Prediction Markets Have an Elections Problem—Asterisk

asteriskmag.com

Weeks after it was clear that Donald Trump lost the 2020 election, you could still make pennies on the dollar betting Joe Biden would win. Why doesn’t smart money drive out dumb money in election markets?

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