It’s a significant reversal from recent history: President Joe Biden is struggling with young voters but performing better than most Democrats with older ones.
It’s a failure of the news and social media. If they read about the massive green initiatives, increased corporate and wealth taxes, ending food supply chain greedflation, advancing equity and racial justice, student loan reimbursement, and housing affordability, they may feel differently.
Instead, they think Trump will “shake up the system.” All he did with his last term was roll back safety and environmental regulations on business, and implement a tax break that expired after four years for the low and middle class but remains intact for the wealthy today.
Just because people don’t support Biden doesn’t mean they’re voting for Trump. This is a false dichotomy.
Unfortunately, that’s the nature of US elections. Maybe one day it’ll change, but for now these are the only votes that will carry through the Electoral College.
FWIW I’d love to see us remove the Electoral College, abolish Gerrymandering, and implement ranked-choice voting to introduce more parties to the table.
that’s the nature of US elections
then they arent really democratic are they
It’s a representative democracy, not a direct democracy. The founders created the Electoral College to assist in elections due to lack of nationwide information on the candidates. That’s clearly not an issue anymore.
yeah, if the parties are putting out only two candidades that people hate, maybe thats not a good idea
The National Committees (DNC and RNC) produce the candidates.
Unfortunately, there are only TWO choices in the 2024 election - you are either voting for democracy or dictatorship - period
When is the democracy supposed to start?
Only one of two people is going to win. It’s about as true of a dichotomy as you can get in politics. Your other option is to throw away your vote, which is the same as not voting.
Teenagers aren’t well known for having landline phones and/or answering calls from unknown numbers.
Even if this were an accurate take on how modern polls were conducted, teenagers not responding to the pollster doesn’t equate to fewer teenagers being willing to vote for Biden. You have to have actual responses to determine that.
So what?
So until polls find a different way to poll the population, they will become more and more unreliable and inaccurate. The polls before the last two elections (2020, 2022) were way off. They’re just going to lose more and more accuracy as more and more gen z and eventually gen alpha vote.
- The polls for the last four federal cycles have been statistically above average in terms of final results numbers. I don’t know where this divorced-from-reality take comes from.
- Polls continue to sample at high enough volume that cell phone usage is simply making polling more expensive, not less accurate.
- Fewer than 30% of teenagers are eligible to vote (significantly fewer due to registration rules) and markedly fewer vote (somewhere near 15% of eighteen-year olds meaning fewer than 5% of teenagers generally). They literally don’t matter.
Sauce?
For which part? I assure you that any of my claims are instantly supported by simply placing them in a search engine.
The task of providing sources belongs the person making the statement. Until then, your statement should be considered hyperbole and hearsay.
neat
That’s how these people get their data
All the time? No.
When you do something right, it makes headlines for an hour. When something bad happens, the “liberal” news spends months talking about the Biden administration is failing while somehow never talking about the root cause.
To be fair, the problem currently is a terrorist attack has been responded to with genocide and that’s still ongoing.
That shouldn’t be out of the news cycle, or even the top story spot.
Anything to pressure the president to actually take action to hault a genocide is worth doing. The threat he might lose an election due to low turn out is real. He can change that before November but the longer he fails to take action, the fewer voters will be willing to look past his delay and inaction.
I agree in theory. But here’s the problem. We need to pressure the public first. Otherwise it’s a lose-lose for Biden. We need the public to demand it like they demanded Ukraine support. Not just from the activists and progressives, but from the centrists and low-information voters. If you don’t do that, then his best bet is to keep supporting Israel like it’s a surrogate country.
Who’s we and who’s the public? We are the public. The public is reasonably split on Ukraine funding as they are on Israel being a genocide. Just along different lines.
No one agrees on any of this and that’s part of the problem.
“We” is the people who view the situation as genocide. The public is the majority, specifically centrists/moderates/low information voters. Ukraine had overwhelming support from from “the public”. That’s who you have to convince.
And yes, I agree that is part of the problem.
I would say currently the majority does agree that Israel is engaging in genocide or near genocide behavior at this point, at least in the US. The actions of Israel are doing amazing work of convincing people at the very least.
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It seems the billions the billionaire foundation networks have spent to shift the country right and create a network of friendly legislatures to obstruct any progressive policy has paid off. Please read the book “Dark Money” by Jane Mayer to understand how truly deep this well coordinated problem goes.
Television station creates panic, suggest you keep watching TV to stay on top of it.
Tune in at 11 for more
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I feel like polls are on the level of rolling a d20 at this point.
I would guess actual polling error or “polling error” based on the fact that campaigning really hasn’t started in earnest. (Biden is still hiring senior staff in Pennsylvania and Trump hasn’t even opened an office there yet.) We should probably expect polling to be all over the place before late September or so, especially with cross-tabs and the tiny sample sizes. Barely anyone is spending the money for high quality polls yet (except maybe the campaigns but they don’t release those).
It’s obvious that there’s real anger about the Gaza war crimes and inflation (which no president controls but people think they do). But a lot of young people are genuinely undecided. If it’s your first or second presidential election, you inevitably make your mind up later than if you already have a party.
It passes the smell test. Maybe the Democrats should consider taking positions that represent the people.
Are they closer than the positions the GOP offers?
“Hey, we’re less awful than the GOP. vote for us”
Is a reason to not vote for the GOP. However, it is not a reason to vote DNC.
“Hey, we care about you and are taking these steps to help you.” is a reason to vote DNC.
Moving to the right because it’s still less-far-right is going to lose votes. it’s that simple.
You’d think they would have figured this out after 2016 yet here we are again in the exact same position for the third time in a row…
Democrat positions:
- Tax increase for over 400k earners
- Medicaid/care expansion
- Food for school kids
- Access to abortion
- support for women’s health services
- Stronger SEC
- Clean energy (at least more than the other)
- Student loan forgiveness
- Separate church and state
- DEI
- Gun laws
- Rights for animals
- Eliminating cash bail
- Programs for drug abuse
- Programs for homeless
- Trans healthcare services
- Gay marriage
- NATO
- Large subsidies for rural broadband
- Investment in infrastructure
- Environmental protection
- Help Ukraine get back it’s country
- Unfortunately, bombs for Israel and no accountability
- Some level of fealty to corporate world
Republican positions:
- Drill baby drill
- No abortion
- No access to contraception
- Christian nation
- No diversity or inclusion of minorities
- Guns show at the school
- Fuck the poor, shoulda pulled up bootstraps
- Fuck the homeless, go to jail
- Minorities are the problem
- Free speech for hate
- Gay conversion therapy
- Back out of NATO
- Fill the privatized prisons with the have-nots
- Child labor/marriage
- Privatize Medicare/SS
- Remove social nets for the poor
- Remove EPA
- Tax system/market rules designed by private corp
- Wipe Palestine off the map
- Forfit Ukraine to Russia
So how does that line up for ya both sides bullshit
*Edit bullets for readability
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Not saying dems don’t have a better agenda.
(Though I do say they’re incapable or unwilling of doing enough for that agenda,)
The reality is, however, the argument in lemmy comments is rarely this. It’s “Trump bad you dipshit trump supporter”.
As for the aside up above… republicans are definitely winning the long game because democrats are not willing to pull the needle further left, just fight to keep it from going much further right.
Fear mongering and obstructionism are more effective. I cannot disagree.
Fearmongering works?
‘Member 2016?
I agree with everything you said. I don’t believe in the party system at all. No issues should be grouped together. No parties. I vote dem since it’s the best we can get. I live in a red state so it’s not plausible to get anything fixed but I fight where I can. FPTGP and ranked choice are certainly my goals along with repealing citizens United. Getting back to the presidential election fund would be icing on the cake. I’m glad there’s an interstate pact to bypass the EC. Last I checked it wouldn’t get us to a popular vote without red states but it gets the issue out front and center.
I think there’s some confusion about blue resolve to liberal issues. It’s not that they don’t want to implement them. They are not aggressive enough in the slim instances they do have the actual power to do so (maybe twice in the last 15 yrs by my count) for fear of reprisal. And their ability to convey a clear message or campaign is weak. Also negative messages are much easier to campaign on so they lose there as well. They are still heavily influenced by corporate lobby and some issues will always get buried in the current system.
Maybe stop helping slaughter Palestinians, then you wouldn’t have this problem.
