The Trump administration lifted its suspension of military aid and intelligence sharing for Ukraine, and Kyiv signaled that it was open to a 30-day ceasefire in the war with Russia, pending Moscow’s agreement, American and Ukrainian officials said Tuesday following talks in Saudi Arabia.

  • Tuukka R@sopuli.xyzM
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    16 hours ago

    Let’s see what this will bring. A long ceasefire would be catastrophic: The Russia currently cannot train its soldiers, because they keep losing troops a little bit faster than they can hire new ones. If they can have a pause from the fighting, they can use the pause for training a large amount of soldiers so that they will be much more efficient in battle than they have been until now.

    Just one month… It would probably still not give enough strength for the Russia.

    Ukraine still controls part of the Russia’s territory in the Kursk province. This makes Putin unlikely to want a ceasefire that would freeze the front into a de facto international border. My guess is that Ukraine is hoping for the Russia to decline the offer, because the Russia cannot accept a ceasefire where Ukraine would retain some of actual Russian territory. If Ukraine is unlucky and the Russia somehow does accept the ceasefire, then in 30 days they can continue fighting and hope that the Russia will collapse. If Russians decline the offer, Trump might feel betrayed by Putin who had promised him we really really wants peace. That will probably shift USA’s favour towards Ukraine.