The conventional wisdom, well captured recently by Ethan Mollick, is that LLMs are advancing exponentially. A few days ago, in very popular blog post, Mollick claimed that “the current best estimates of the rate of improvement in Large Language models show capabilities doubling every 5 to 14 months”:
Weird art shit’s gonna stop that from happening. Video is just barely a thing, and it’s already jawdropping. You can describe photoreal CGI into existence. There’s a lot of people who are gonna take their cool story ideas and not need any studio support to turn them into whole-ass movies.