Undecideds are drastically overestimated. People who poll undecided with such polar candidates may feel disillusioned by both candidates or they prefer a candidate that is outside of what their family or demographic prefers and they feel conflicted about it. If someone is so truly apathetic about these candidates they aren’t going to bother to vote for either. Passionate voters are bad enough about showing up to vote. Very few of these people are going to suddenly resonate with a candidate based on positive or negative campaigning. I really think it’s all about nudging the ends of the bell curves on voter turnout for either party.
There is only about 20 percent total of voters that are always on a side. Many can swing either way for many reasons and many don’t decide until the last two weeks.
This sort of disinformation leads people to a false sense of security and sways people not to vote thinking that it’s already locked up. That is not the truth.
Undecideds are drastically overestimated. People who poll undecided with such polar candidates may feel disillusioned by both candidates or they prefer a candidate that is outside of what their family or demographic prefers and they feel conflicted about it. If someone is so truly apathetic about these candidates they aren’t going to bother to vote for either. Passionate voters are bad enough about showing up to vote. Very few of these people are going to suddenly resonate with a candidate based on positive or negative campaigning. I really think it’s all about nudging the ends of the bell curves on voter turnout for either party.
This is not factual. It’s blatantly been proven wrong. I did a paper about it in college. A vast majority of the voting population is undecided.
https://www.dataforprogress.org/insights/2024/5/30/measuring-the-swing-evaluating-the-key-voters-of-2024
There is only about 20 percent total of voters that are always on a side. Many can swing either way for many reasons and many don’t decide until the last two weeks.
This sort of disinformation leads people to a false sense of security and sways people not to vote thinking that it’s already locked up. That is not the truth.