• Jay
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    33
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    1 year ago

    While Michael’s assertion of a 50% chance of winning the race seems logical from his subjective viewpoint of “winning or not winning”, it’s mathematically incorrect. In a race with five equally skilled runners, the probability of any one runner winning is 1/5, or 20%. Michael’s simplification of the outcomes doesn’t correctly calculate the probability and indicates a possible misunderstanding of how to calculate odds.

    Yes, this was made with ChatGPT. No, I’m not fun at parties.