Donald Trump appears close to invincible in the early Republican primaries and caucuses, but his strength among general election voters remains unclear.
  • @[email protected]M
    -4•4 months ago

    They are when you track them over time. In each of these states, support for Trump is growing, not shrinking.

    • @[email protected]OP
      4•4 months ago

      Maybe, maybe not. You sound very confident in Trump. I’m not.

      Sure, there’s a risk Trump will somehow pull out a win in the electoral college. But I don’t think he’s the favorite by any stretch of the imagination.

      • @[email protected]English
        6•4 months ago

        Assume he is and act accordingly. Otherwise we’ll ll have the the rest of our lives to regret it.

      • @[email protected]M
        1•4 months ago

        Well, I’ve been following the polling in these states for several months now and I’ve watched them go from 1/2 Biden 1/2 Trump, to all Trump by a couple of points, to all Trump by 5 to 6 points.

        The momentum is definitely with Trump at this point.

        Can he maintain it? Dunno.

        • @[email protected]OP
          2•4 months ago

          Dude, we’ve all been watching. And everyone knows that it’s going to be close. It always is. Doesn’t take a rocket scientist to predict that. It’s also way too early to conclude anything from polling.

          • @[email protected]M
            1•4 months ago

            The whole point is following the trend line. If the trend continues, it’s important to have been following it as soon as possible.

            • @[email protected]OP
              2•4 months ago

              You can find any trend you want in statistics. The only trend that matters is on election day.

              • @[email protected]M
                1•4 months ago

                And by the time you can report on that, it’s far too late to do anything about it.

                Which is why you follow the trend line now.