In light of new data showing China's population shrinking for the second year running, a Shanghai-based think tank has drastically changed its 2100 forecast.
That’s going to be an issue in 10-20 years. Who the fuck knows what it’s going to be like 75 years from now. We’re talking about a span of time as long as Communist China has existed. 75 years ago computers barely existed.
Social sciences and hard sciences are not the same thing. Social “sciences” are largely unfalsifiable and dominated by the “unless modified by human action” caveat that breaks predictions. You can predict very general trends like “fewer births”, but in 1949 you couldn’t look at the populations of Mongolia, China, and South Korea and know that they would have vastly different birth rates 75 years later.
Removed by mod
That’s going to be an issue in 10-20 years. Who the fuck knows what it’s going to be like 75 years from now. We’re talking about a span of time as long as Communist China has existed. 75 years ago computers barely existed.
Removed by mod
Social sciences and hard sciences are not the same thing. Social “sciences” are largely unfalsifiable and dominated by the “unless modified by human action” caveat that breaks predictions. You can predict very general trends like “fewer births”, but in 1949 you couldn’t look at the populations of Mongolia, China, and South Korea and know that they would have vastly different birth rates 75 years later.