return2ozma@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 8 months agoNearly half of voters think it's likely Biden will be replaced as nominee, a new poll showswww.politico.comexternal-linkmessage-square20fedilinkarrow-up114arrow-down140
arrow-up1-26arrow-down1external-linkNearly half of voters think it's likely Biden will be replaced as nominee, a new poll showswww.politico.comreturn2ozma@lemmy.world to politics @lemmy.world · 8 months agomessage-square20fedilink
minus-squareOptional@lemmy.worldlinkfedilinkarrow-up21arrow-down5·8 months agothe poll is from 908 people who answered thirty questions, by telephone. If that doesn’t strike you as profoundly weird, it probably should. 908/161420000 = 0.00000562507743774 So 0.00005% of registered voters think Biden’s gonna drop out and Trump is super fit and healthy.
minus-squareJaymesRS@literature.cafelinkfedilinkEnglisharrow-up8·edit-28 months agoWith a good poll design and a good representative sample you can get a 98% confidence interval (within ± 5%) for the US with as few as 550 people.
minus-squarekbal@kbin.melroy.orglinkfedilinkarrow-up8arrow-down1·8 months agotell us you don’t understand mathematics without telling us you don’t understand mathematics
the poll is from 908 people who answered thirty questions, by telephone.
If that doesn’t strike you as profoundly weird, it probably should. 908/161420000 = 0.00000562507743774
So 0.00005% of registered voters think Biden’s gonna drop out and Trump is super fit and healthy.
With a good poll design and a good representative sample you can get a 98% confidence interval (within ± 5%) for the US with as few as 550 people.
tell us you don’t understand mathematics without telling us you don’t understand mathematics