A crucial system of ocean currents is heading for a collapse that 'would affect every person on the planet' | CNN
www.cnn.com
A vital system of ocean currents in the Atlantic could collapse within a few decades – an event that would be catastrophic for global weather and “affect every person on the planet.”
  • Dannebot@leddit.danmark.partyOPMBdansk
    1·
    2 years ago

    Iskaru at 2023-07-26 12:40:51+00:00 ID: jtik97w

    Du bør også tage tilfældige posts på reddit med et gran salt… Citatet bejangravity giver er fra abstraktet, som henviser til tidligere fund. Deres egen udregninger finder altså noget nyt, nemlig at tipping point ligger et sted mellem ca ~2045 og ~2070. Så det er altså korrekt nok rapporteret af CNN.

    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-39810-w

    "We predict with high confidence the tipping to happen as soon as

    mid-century (2025–2095 is a 95% confidence range). These results are

    under the assumption that the model is approximately correct, and we, of

    course, cannot rule out that other mechanisms are at play, and thus,

    the uncertainty is larger. However, we have reduced the analysis to have

    as few and sound assumptions as possible, and given the importance of

    the AMOC for the climate system, we ought not to ignore such clear

    indicators of an imminent collapse."

    • Dannebot@leddit.danmark.partyOPMBdansk
      1·
      2 years ago

      Mattidh1 at 2023-07-26 13:46:42+00:00 ID: jtisv97

      Husk at tage 95% confidence med et gran salt. Beregningen er sat ud fra 1000 iterations, og når man ser på reelt små forskelle så er det satme ikke meget.

      Det skal dog ikke fjerne fra det at jeg er enig med selve artiklen.