I think it’ll depend on how expensive it is to maintain the existing features under the new EU law. My understanding is that the phones are thinner (maybe lighter) and more easily waterproofed because of the current design. If it costs more to keep those features with a replaceable battery, they might split the market rather than try to charge higher prices in the other markets. They might even just drop those features in the EU rather than raise prices.

It’s definitely going to be interesting to see what they do.