As NASA plans the Artemis 3 mission in September 2026, its own alnalysis estimates a nearly 1-in3 chance the lander will be at least a year and a half late.
A bit disappointing, but not too surprising. Going from a propellant transfer demo in early 2025 to a crewed lunar landing in September 2026 is a pretty agressive timeline.
Crew Dragon and Starliner were originally supposed to begin operations in 2017. SLS was supposed to launch in 2016. Back in the 90s, JWST was scheduled to launch in 2007. It would be shocking if Starship development wasn’t delayed.
A bit disappointing, but not too surprising. Going from a propellant transfer demo in early 2025 to a crewed lunar landing in September 2026 is a pretty agressive timeline.
It was aggressive before the first flight.
Remember, they were supposed to originally test the lunar landing in Q1 2024.
Crew Dragon and Starliner were originally supposed to begin operations in 2017. SLS was supposed to launch in 2016. Back in the 90s, JWST was scheduled to launch in 2007. It would be shocking if Starship development wasn’t delayed.
The Artemis program was way too late in realizing that they would need a crew lander and EVA suits…