All of statistics and much of science depends on probability — an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is.

  • Thistlewick@lemmynsfw.com
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    9
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    2 days ago

    “What is the probability of flipping tails on a coin?”

    50%

    “What if I told you that the coin had two heads! Gotcha!”

    Then the probability of tails would be 0%, and you’d be an arsehole.

    • pdxfed@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      3
      ·
      1 day ago

      Yeah, the more I read the less impressed I was–though I’m always willing to accept the probability I’m not smart enough to grasp an author’s idea. Seems like a subject that may have run its course in reasonable analysis and this is all that is left to scrabble about in for ideas.