pory@lemmy.world to 196@lemmy.blahaj.zoneEnglish · 1 year agoMonty rule problemlemmy.worldimagemessage-square44fedilinkarrow-up1340arrow-down10
arrow-up1340arrow-down1imageMonty rule problemlemmy.worldpory@lemmy.world to 196@lemmy.blahaj.zoneEnglish · 1 year agomessage-square44fedilink
minus-squareTh4tGuyII@kbin.sociallinkfedilinkarrow-up12·1 year agoSo essentially like this: Original door has 33% chance of being good, compared to 66% chance of the other 2 doors One of other two doors are opened by Monty, because he’s a swell guy! The two doors still have a 66% chance of being good, but since one of them is now opened, that 66% chance now only applies to the one other door Ergo there’s a 66% chance that if you switch doors, you’ll pick the right door
So essentially like this:
Original door has 33% chance of being good, compared to 66% chance of the other 2 doors
One of other two doors are opened by Monty, because he’s a swell guy!
The two doors still have a 66% chance of being good, but since one of them is now opened, that 66% chance now only applies to the one other door
Ergo there’s a 66% chance that if you switch doors, you’ll pick the right door