This is clearly a gift to Russia.
If agreed, how will Russia use those 30 days. How will Europe and Ukraine?
Russia will use it to rearm and plan for a new attack, certainly. That’s why I think it’s a gift for them. Ukraine had better do the same, because the track record of Putin says this ain’t gonna hold.
Could you imagine if Russia violates this ceasefire too? The propaganda…
They will, but under the guise of a false flag to state that Ukraine broke the ceasefire first.
If it happens and Ukraine and its true allies use the time wisely to prepare for the worst case, then the worst case might not be so bad.
Ukraine isn’t recovering much territory militarily anytime soon, short of a black swan event. So diplomacy and putin’s “retirement” will be the way.
trump will screw it up with premature sanctions relief though.