Summary

Vladimir Putin responded to Ukraine’s US-backed ceasefire proposal by imposing strict conditions, including a halt to Kyiv’s military aid and mobilization, while continuing Russia’s own rearmament.

His calculated stance prolongs negotiations without outright rejecting Donald Trump’s initiative, which seeks to end the war while pressuring Ukraine.

Putin also demands Ukraine’s demilitarization, exclusion from NATO, and recognition of Russian territorial claims.

Trump, with limited leverage, may shift toward aligning with Putin’s terms. Meanwhile, Ukraine fears the ceasefire could allow Russia to regroup and intensify its offensive.

  • NoiseColor @lemmy.world
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    17 days ago

    Trump doesn’t care, but on the other hand I really don’t think he is a Russian asset.

    Russia is playing their negotiating well. They have projected strength and total commitment to their claimed goals. They were able to do it, because of the diplomatic blunders by the Trump administration. Until now US have not said anything about Russian concessions. They were mentioned, but nothing specific.

    On the other side, the Ukrainians will never accept anything close to what the Russians want. Even if America tries to force the conditions on them, they will still have some support from Europe.

    Trump wants this. I mean, let’s get serious, if he does it, he could legitimately expect the Nobel prize. I’m not even joking, if he does, he would be an idiot savant of peacemaking. It’s highly unlikely though, but what is his way out?

    • Docus@lemmy.world
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      17 days ago

      Trump does not have the cards to force a peace deal, or the skills to negotiate one. Ukraine and Putin are simply too far apart to meet in the middle.

        • NoiseColor @lemmy.world
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          17 days ago

          Thats completely naive. Reality doesn’t work like memes. People are dying, lives are being destroyed.

      • NoiseColor @lemmy.world
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        17 days ago

        Definitely not skills. But both sides in the war want to have a strong start to the negotiation. Ukraine might give up Crimea officially for NATO membership. Russia will do anything that will look like they won.

          • NoiseColor @lemmy.world
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            15 days ago

            Its the start of the negotiation, everyone will take positions, but might change them. I don’t think Nato is really an option, but they might avoid this and make individual 2 party agreements between Ukraine and Nato countries that would serve as a sort of replacement for actually admitting Ukraine to Nato.

              • NoiseColor @lemmy.world
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                15 days ago

                Without giving Ukrainians real safety guarantees, they will never stop fighting. Russia knows that. If they don’t accept safety guarantees they are saying, they want to war more.

                • alkbch@lemmy.ml
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                  15 days ago

                  They will never stop fighting? Ukraine can’t win a war of attrition against Russia.

      • MrNesser@lemmy.world
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        16 days ago

        I’m convinced Trump is chasing the nobel peace prize because Obama has one and he’s still butt hurt over it.

      • cosmicrookie@lemmy.world
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        17 days ago

        It is not about Trumps skills. My guess is that there might have been a deal, if Trump didn’t get in the way of his advisors by posting on social media and going off script in interviews

    • alkbch@lemmy.ml
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      15 days ago

      The support from Europe is not enough for Ukraine to survive.

      • NoiseColor @lemmy.world
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        15 days ago

        Maybe it could be, if EU countries actually start up the military production as so many leaders are promising.

        • alkbch@lemmy.ml
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          15 days ago

          Maybe, but even then it would take years to actually ramp up the military production.

          • NoiseColor @lemmy.world
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            15 days ago

            Yes. Best case scenario it would be terrible if the US cut off Ukraine. But I think with a generous transition time eu could do it.

            • alkbch@lemmy.ml
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              15 days ago

              Could do what? By the time European military production is up and running Ukraine will be mostly Russian.

              • NoiseColor @lemmy.world
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                15 days ago

                With current progression rate, Russia will need more than 50 years to capture whole of Ukraine.

                • alkbch@lemmy.ml
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                  15 days ago

                  With the current progression rate, the Ukrainian army will run out of soldiers in a few years.

                  • NoiseColor @lemmy.world
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                    15 days ago

                    That is a naive statement that is not based on any data. I could say the same for Russia.