History of RWC Finals and some statistics

France made 3 x RWC finals without winning.
England made 4 x RWC finals with 1 win.
Australia made 4 x RWC finals with 2 wins.
NZ made 4 x RWC finals with 3 wins.
South Africa 3 x RWC finals with 3 wins.

Three nations have reached a Rugby World Cup Final having previously lost a game in that tournament: England in 1991 and 2007, South Africa in 2019, and France in 2011, the latter being the only team to reach the final having lost two games and South Africa being the only team who won the cup after losing one game

Statistics and numbers can only tell us so much and can be proven wrong. Do we conclude then that if France make the final this RWC, this is their statistically best chance? Do we conclude that if SA make a final they are invincible? Are England/Australia the teams on that side of the draw most likely to make the final but lose?What do you conclude from these facts and statics ? What are your predictions ?

  • Olap@lemmy.worldMEnglish
    2·
    1 year ago

    IRE vs SA final my prediction. Making Scotland undisputed 3rd best in the world

  • theboy@feddit.ukEnglish
    2·
    1 year ago

    Still maintain Australia are criminally good value at that price, if only cos of the draw. Ireland and SA are good value at those prices too imo.

      • theboy@feddit.ukEnglish
        2·
        1 year ago

        I’m not confident. Every time they have gone far has been on the back of poor/mediocre performances.

        It feels weird having the favourites tag from so many people after ten years of memes.