People who came here expecting a monolithic Reddit 2.0 will either leave for the hot new thing or centralize themselves on a few major mega-instances.
Smaller instances will be their own communities (in the general sense) and those that are similar enough will form “neighborhoods” (not in a defederation sense but in an unofficial “hey we talk between each other quite a lot” kinda ad-hoc sense)
There will be Lemmy forks (or several completely new software) that’s explicitly aimed at the above mentioned smaller instances
Think of Glitch or Hometown over on Masto, or Akkoma
In a defederation sense, there will be a large and complex venn diagram of instance connections as instance admins take stances between reddit-style free-for-all and safer spaces (and yes, the occasional completely freeze-peach instances that’ll get defederated from both)
Quite a few smaller instances will defederate or otherwise limit communication (assuming the options will exist) from above mega-instances as they’ll be extremely lax on moderation to not lose the Reddit free-for-all audience.
TLDR: Just look at the microblogging side of the fedi.
TLDR: Just look at the microblogging side of the fedi.
I hope the people who came here for the first one leave instead of making mega instances. We don’t need that nonsense here.