As many as five House seats could flip in 2024 after the Allen v. Milligan ruling, in which the Supreme Court upheld a key provision of the Voting Rights Act.
It’s also low hanging fruit, since the state could drag their feet on redistricting until it’s too close to the 2024 election. So the party doesn’t lose seats and the Supreme Courts gets to say they threw human decency a bone.
That’s a possibility. This case followed a delay where the Court voted to allow the now-rejected maps to be used in 2022. There’s a loose standard around whether an unfair map can be used. Realistically, we’re far out enough that every state should be able to redistrict in time for 2024. But a lot depends on the lower courts, because what will likely happen is that the states will cheerfully submit different maps that are just as imbalanced, and we’ll have to watch multiple rounds of court orders, new maps, appeals, and so fourth. In some cases, courts have given an ultimatum: Provide a fair map, or we’ll appoint an independent committee to provide one for you. So that’s one way out of the morass, it’s just a matter of whether or not the judges involved will go that route, and whether or not SCOTUS will defer to the lower courts when the appeal gets that high.
It’s also low hanging fruit, since the state could drag their feet on redistricting until it’s too close to the 2024 election. So the party doesn’t lose seats and the Supreme Courts gets to say they threw human decency a bone.
That’s a possibility. This case followed a delay where the Court voted to allow the now-rejected maps to be used in 2022. There’s a loose standard around whether an unfair map can be used. Realistically, we’re far out enough that every state should be able to redistrict in time for 2024. But a lot depends on the lower courts, because what will likely happen is that the states will cheerfully submit different maps that are just as imbalanced, and we’ll have to watch multiple rounds of court orders, new maps, appeals, and so fourth. In some cases, courts have given an ultimatum: Provide a fair map, or we’ll appoint an independent committee to provide one for you. So that’s one way out of the morass, it’s just a matter of whether or not the judges involved will go that route, and whether or not SCOTUS will defer to the lower courts when the appeal gets that high.