• 2 Posts
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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • I do not believe in fate.

    You should stop assuming things because you’re not very accurate with your assumptions.

    Do you want to speculate if the rounds fired are hand loaded or factory made? Maybe this specific batch of rounds had black pepper instead of gunpowder? Maybe the hammer will break just as he’s about to shoot, what are the chances of the executioner having a stroke or an aneurysm? maybe your mom would be your dad if she had balls. And your grandma would be a bike if she had wheels.

    I’m not going to debate elementary school level statistics with you. Option A and C both will give you ~33% chance of survival. But for you specifically. I’d recommend option B, for all of our sake.


  • For instance, in the case of 4/6, one must assume the bullets include 2 sequential empty chambers

    No. One must not assume that. You are trying to make all the assumptions that benefit you. A certain bald spot somewhere. A bias in the mechanism that they know about, somehow it’s also about capitalism bla bla bla. You put a lot of effort into purposefully misunderstanding how simple statistics work.

    And no. If you survive the first pull. You are LESS likely to survive the second. Not more.

    It’s still the same 5/6 chance. But you having to get that chance multiple times in row makes it less likely the longer you go on. And the math will have it so after 6 times. It comes out to about ~33%

    How you feel about it on a philosophical level doesn’t change the reality around you.

    You can choose which ever option you feel more comfortable with. And that’s ok. But it’s not going to change how statistics work.



  • The previous shots do matter. Because for you to even reach the 6:th shot, all previous attempts have to be in your favor.

    It’s (5/6) you’ll live each pull. But to reach pull #2 you’ll have to survive the first. To reach pull #3 you have to survive the first 2.

    You’re looking at events that have to take place is a specific order. You have to multiply each pull to work out the probability of this event following one of those orders. It will come out to (5/6)^6.

    (5/6) is the probability you survive. And ^6 because you have to survive it 6 times.

    You’re looking at ~33% of getting empty slots 6 times in a row.

    Previous attempts always have a bearing on statistics if things need to happen in a certain order.


  • That’s not how statistics work.

    Leta say you’re on your 6:th shot on option A.

    For you to even get there, it requires all previous attempts to be in your favor. You’re looking at events that all have to happen in a favorable order. And that is as follows

    5/6 chance you live after the first time. (5/6)^2 chance you live after the second. (Because you have to survive the first) (5/6)^3 chance you live after the third. (Because you have to survive the first AND the second) … and so on until (5/6)^6 ~ 33%

    Think about flipping a coin. Do you really think getting 6 heads in a row is 50/50? The coin is “reset” between each flip. But it’s not a 50/50 chance to get 6 heads in a row. If you don’t believe me. Try it and see. According to statistics. It will take you 64 attempts to get 6 heads in a row.






  • Did you know. That every single year. Millions of people are born that has never heard of Jaguar. Because why would they?

    Last time I ever heard someone talk about Jaguar was 20 years ago when they sold their f1 team.

    Prior to that. I have not given them as much as a single thought. So yes. Them changing their logo certainly did what it was supposed to do. Get people to talk about Jaguar.


  • It’s not the first time they’ve made a “drastic” change.

    As a matter of. They’ve had a logo similar to this before in the 50’s. With just the word “Jaguar”.

    You have the world’s combined knowledge at your fingertips. And you choose to be ignorant and blur out something so stupid as “But it’s the first time they’ve made a change as drastic as this.”








  • AtomictoNonCredibleDefenseQuite an explosive finish
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    14 days ago

    That’s a reason for then not now.

    Better question is then why didn’t Germany stick with the old design instead of switching to more “modern” looking grenades?

    And the answer is NOT “baseball”. The answer is that they’re too heavy and cumbersome. And the cons outweighs the pros.


  • Funny enough. Sweden already went through that problem. We call it “Age of Greatness”. (Stormaktstiden)

    Basically. Sweden got too big too fast, couldn’t maintain an army large enough to secure everything. If i remember correctly, we couldn’t produce enough food, and we lost a bunch of territory.


  • AtomictoProgrammer Humor@programming.devAsking the real questions
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    17 days ago

    Not legal in Sweden. Our “IRS” must also accept the name and deem it legal.

    I for one like this. As it stops some very stupid people to name their children some very stupid names. Such as “Adolf Hitler”.

    And yes. Someone did try to name their child this and they were appropriately stoped from doing it.