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Cake day: July 7th, 2023

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  • Again, what you’re not clocking here is that it will be a very, very long time before we have sufficient quantum compute time available to engage in large scale decryption. Even just getting to the point where they can decrypt all newly generated messages will be a long time. By that point you’d have decades of historical messages to did through.

    Barring some wild, out of nowhere leap forward in the feasibility, scalability and affordability of the tech, you’ll be dead by the time the NSA gets around to reading your old messages.






  • The notion that quantum computing will make encryption useless anytime in the near future is a wild fantasy.

    Yes, the potential exists that a fully realized version of quantum computing might do this. If such a thing actually ends up existing anytime soon. That is a big if. Right now we’re still very much in the “Working out if this is even feasible” stage.

    Even if fully realized quantum computers become a thing, and do all the things we want them to do, we’ll be decades away from having enough of them to be able to apply quantum compute time to any random conversation on the off chance it contains something important. That’s like fishing by hocking gold bars into the ocean in the hopes that one of them hits a fish on the way down.



  • This is actually the premise of a Cory Doctorow short story.

    spoiler

    A wealthy techbro makes a bunker for him and his coterie of close friends. Eventually they all die of legionaires disease because their septic tank leaked into their water system. Meanwhile back in the city, everyone just rolls their sleeves up and gets on with the work of fixing things. People organize food collection points, set up field hospitals, work to get production of critical supplies back on line, etc.

    The story is called Masque of The Red Death (obviously a nod to the De Sade story). It’s collected in Radicalized. I’ll also note that the title story of that collection is about a group of people who start killing healthcare CEOs. Not sure why I felt like that was worth mentioning, certainly doesn’t feel relevant to anything happening right now.

    Edit: Cory’s publisher actually put up the title story of Radicalized for free online - https://prospect.org/culture/books/2024-12-09-radicalized-cory-doctorow-story-health-care/ Again, not actually relevant to this thread, but maybe of interest to people anyway. Personally, I think the whole book is worth grabbing. Then again I have a personally signed copy so I’m probably biased.




  • This is exactly the problem. The Dems hyperfixated on how well “the economy” was doing as some of kind of abstract entity, instead of acknowledging that none of those metrics actually represent a truly healthy economy. There’s more money, but it’s all going to the wealthy. There’s more employment, but being employed means Jack Shit if you’re working three jobs and still can’t make rent.

    Successive Dem and GOP governments have spent decades overseeing the creation of an economy that has destroyed the livelihood of the average person (and the same has happened all across the neoliberal world). I’ve seen it said, accurately, that “poor” in the eighties was vastly more comfortable than poor today. Never forget that the Simpsons were supposed to be an average working class family struggling to get by. The Frank Grimes episode lampooned how the Simpsons basic existence had already transformed into one of relative luxury, and that aired in '97. It’s gotten so much worse since then.

    People may be ignorant and easily lead, but they still know how much money is in their bank account. You will never ever win elections by telling voters they’re not actually poor because GDP growth is up.

    The solutions Trump offered to these problems are objectively terrible, built on ignorance and outright lies. But he offered solutions. The Dems looked at a house full of people actively burning to death and said “What are you on about, there’s no fire. You’re stupid.”

    Against that, the GOPs ideas didn’t have to be good. They just had to be different. The average voter figured that there if there was even a 1% chance that Trump made things better, that was still better odds than the Dems were giving them. Most of them didn’t even bother looking at the details of Trump’s plans, they just figured “Hey, he apparently has a plan, the other guys clearly don’t, so let’s go with that.”