• Grandwolf319
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    5
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    30 days ago

    Since two of them are the same, you have a 50% chance of picking something that is 33% of the possible answers. The other two, you have 25% chance of picking something that us 33% of the possible answers.

    So 50%33% + 2 (33%*25%)= 33%

    So your chances of being right is 33% cause there is effectively 3 choices.

    • redfellow@sopuli.xyz
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      2
      ·
      30 days ago

      But that one answer has a 33% larger possibility of being chosen by random, than the remaining two.

      • Grandwolf319
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        30 days ago

        I covered that by multiplying it by 50% as it represents 50% of the choices.