• agamemnonymous
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    4
    arrow-down
    20
    ·
    edit-2
    1 year ago

    Certainly sometimes, not always. I was convinced to get a “proper” chart done, and the results were more specific and accurate than I expected. Certainly not vague newspaper predictions. I’m not going to claim the whole practice is authentic, but like I said I wouldn’t be surprised if it turns out to have some actual correspondence to some unknown tangible cause unrelated to the stars.

    • KevonLooney@lemm.ee
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      16
      arrow-down
      2
      ·
      1 year ago

      Certainly sometimes, not always

      That’s not the basis of a good prediction. Imagine flipping a coin. You can “guess” the answer with 50% accuracy by just choosing heads each time.

      But that’s cheating you say? You could also get 50% accuracy by just flipping another coin and using that choice. Or just choosing the opposite that just appeared (heads, tails, heads, etc.). That’s not good enough for a prediction.

      • agamemnonymous
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        arrow-down
        8
        ·
        1 year ago

        I’m not trying to sell anyone on astrology here. All I said was sometimes it’s so vague as to to apply to anyone, but not always.

        • Honytawk@lemmy.zip
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          8
          arrow-down
          2
          ·
          1 year ago

          If it isn’t vague, it isn’t astrology.

          They are just reading your body language and things they find online about you.

          The location flaming balls of gas are have no influence on your life. Except for the sun.

          • agamemnonymous
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            1
            arrow-down
            4
            ·
            1 year ago

            It was automated so it wasn’t that.

            Once more, not saying the stars have anything to do with, except that they’re in the sky in a particular time of year. If astrology is based on anything, it’s probably the effects of the seasons.

            • FarmTaco@lemmy.world
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              3
              arrow-down
              1
              ·
              1 year ago

              So because facebook can place ads that are vague and general, does that mean that they also have some sort of scientific correlation to predicting the future? Yes right? i mean, it could be true, that your computer is reading your mind and putting this up there, your horoscope? also created by your laptop reading your brainwaves that are bouncing off the cats sonar dish outside, its possible.

              • agamemnonymous
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                1
                arrow-down
                2
                ·
                1 year ago

                We’ve wandered pretty far from the topic. None of that follows from anything I said.

                Nonetheless, are those hypotheses possible? Sure. Likely? Probably not. But there’s a chasm of difference between “extremely unlikely” and “absolutely false”. Understanding the limitations of your knowledge, both incidental and fundamental, is central to successful scientific inquiry.

                • FarmTaco@lemmy.world
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  1
                  arrow-down
                  1
                  ·
                  9 months ago

                  yea im not surprised that someone who puts vested interest in astrology charts also says “you know what, maybe” to your laptop reading your brain and advertising to you.

                  • agamemnonymous
                    link
                    fedilink
                    arrow-up
                    1
                    ·
                    9 months ago

                    Dunno who you’re talking about, since I don’t put vested interest in astrology charts. Nor why you felt the need to express that thought 4 months later. I say “You know what? Maybe” to everything because I haven’t deluded myself into thinking I know everything.

    • Tavarin@lemmy.ca
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      10
      arrow-down
      2
      ·
      1 year ago

      Nope, astrologers are masters at making vague answers sound specific. But they are still vague and interpretable in multiple ways, even in your proper chart.

      • agamemnonymous
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        3
        arrow-down
        10
        ·
        1 year ago

        Oh, sorry, I didn’t realize you were omniscient. My mistake. Have a good day.

        • Tavarin@lemmy.ca
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          8
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          1 year ago

          No, that’s all astrology is. Whenever it’s been put to the test it has been found to have no supernatural or real predictive power. Just vague statements, and reader bias.

          • Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            4
            ·
            1 year ago

            Testing is the important part. Imo, the reason astrology persists is because of the lottery effect. One person out of 12 gets the perfect reading so promotes astrology as working when they were just lucky.

          • agamemnonymous
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            2
            arrow-down
            9
            ·
            1 year ago

            I tested it, I disagree. Or do you only respect tests that confirm your biases? Doesn’t sound very scientific to me.

              • agamemnonymous
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                1
                arrow-down
                9
                ·
                1 year ago

                Certainty is unscientific and illogical. The scientific method cannot prove anything. It simply tests hypotheses to develop models. Every model is wrong, but some are more useful than others. Conflating the discovery of a useful model with absolute certainty isn’t science, it’s scientific fundamentalism, a cancer that eats your brain.

                Nothing can be said scientifically about the truth or falsity of any claim. Science can only day that the evidence gathered in a particular experimental setup is consistent or inconsistent with a hypothesis.

                • Tavarin@lemmy.ca
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  6
                  arrow-down
                  2
                  ·
                  1 year ago

                  Man, you do not understand science.

                  I’m a research chemist, and have been in the sciences for the last 15 years.

                  And science can test the hypothesis that astrology is accurate in various ways, and has shown time and time again that astrology is no better than random chance in its accuracy.

                  People have been trying to prove evolution is wrong since it was first posited, yet all evidence just further demonstrates it is the correct explanation for life.

                  Models aren’t wrong by definition. Incomplete perhaps, but if a theory is able to accurately predict the world around us then it is still a good theory. Our theory of gravity can let us calculate the exact position of stellar bodies for millennia ahead, and has been consistently shown to be accurate.

                  • agamemnonymous
                    link
                    fedilink
                    arrow-up
                    4
                    arrow-down
                    4
                    ·
                    1 year ago

                    science can test the hypothesis that astrology is accurate in various ways

                    This is true

                    theory is able to accurately predict the world around us then it is still a good theory

                    This is also true

                    The moment you start making absolute statements based on the above, no matter how unanimous the evidence, you have left the realm of science and your brain begins to succumb to the rot. If we treated well supported models as gospel, we’d still be using the Newtonian gravitational model.

                    The entire point of science is to admit the fundamental uncertainty of all human knowledge, and develop the tools to develop better models. Yes, every model is wrong. Some allow us to make very accurate predictions, but they are all imperfect approximations.

                    No scientific model justifies absolute certainty