• Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    5 months ago

    In 1999 Kurzweil made predictions for 2009. I didn’t make the predictions.

    Many of the predictions did not come true. Kurzweil’s 86% claim is false. Even you being a fan have agreed that 86% is wrong.

    Non fans, which is how you need to approach things scientifically, claim 25%. Not being a fan doesn’t mean you aren’t being objective. I have already said Kurzweil’s earlier work was very accurate which is why he became famous.

    • Varyk
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      1
      ·
      edit-2
      5 months ago

      Nope, you are straight-up lying.

      The claim: kurzweil has “tons [this means “a lot”] of corect predictions”.

      Your parameters:

      1. Pointedly gnoring at least 100 of his predictions that critics agree carne true

      2. incorrectly assuming he made all the 2009 predictions and wrote the book in a single day January 1, 1999, the day the book was published and printed

      3. Arguing insignificant details of a minority of my personal offhand examples illustrating his predictions rather than addressing the actual predictions kurzweil makes

      Your arguments, assumptions, misdirects and mistakes are not germane to the original correct statement that kurzweil has many correct predictions, and despite your efforts have proved yourself that even by your restrictive conditions, the majority of his predictions are true.

      The statement "Kurzweil made tons of correct predictions is true.

      You’ve been swinging and missing for days now, and you aren’t even on the field.

      Don’t let me stop you, though.

      • Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        5 months ago

        You can’t say he wrote the book before 1999 and then ignore that products are announced before they are released too.

        You haven’t listed the 100 correct predictions from his 1999 book. I started with the 2009 predictions to give Kurzweil the best percentage possible. Longer predictions are less accurate.

        • Varyk
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          5 months ago

          I’m not saying that.

          You’re making more incorrect assumptions.

          • Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            5 months ago

            You said 100, now you claim you aren’t saying that.

            You are confused or a liar. This is beyond boring.

            • Varyk
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              1
              ·
              5 months ago

              You’re incorrect again.

              I said at least a hundred predictions on top of the 40 odd you want to talk about.

              You aren’t able to retain more than the most immediately recent comment.

              This is your own burden and nobody else’s.

              • Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                1
                ·
                5 months ago

                iII said at least a hundred predictions on top of the 40 odd you want to talk about.

                Stop lying. It’s boring.
                List your 100 with exact sources.

                • Varyk
                  link
                  fedilink
                  English
                  arrow-up
                  1
                  ·
                  5 months ago

                  I get it, you’re bummed you can’t convince anyone and you’ve lost the argument.

                  I’m pretty happy about it, though, so I’ll leave you to do your own digging.

                  You need to learn one day.

                  • Blue_Morpho@lemmy.world
                    link
                    fedilink
                    English
                    arrow-up
                    1
                    ·
                    5 months ago

                    You: "Pointedly ignoring his 100 predictions that came true "

                    Me: list them.

                    You: that’s not what I meant.

                    Stop lying.