• kn0wmad1c@programming.dev
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    5 months ago

    You could make points without calling the other person naive. No need to make the internet a worse place.

    As far as “every available metric” goes, you’re talking polls, and polls are garbage. Every poll had Clinton winning in late October 2016.

    And we’re in an unprecedented portion of politics in American history, so bringing up historical measurements doesn’t convince me like you think it would.

    • Riccosuave@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      We will see who did the proper analysis in 4 months time. I’m really hoping it won’t be me. Unfortunately, I am also certain that I am correct.

      • kn0wmad1c@programming.dev
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        5 months ago

        I’m not certain at all, which scares me all the same. Tho the last ten years still hasn’t beaten the hope out of me, so I’ve got that much going.

        • Riccosuave@lemmy.world
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          5 months ago

          I don’t want to kill your hope. I don’t share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us.

        • LustyArgonian@lemmy.world
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          5 months ago

          Lol exactly, no one knows the future. That’s the problem with inductive reasoning and the philosophical idea of the absurd.

          • TrickDacy@lemmy.world
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            5 months ago

            Yes, I guess we will find out if you’re the world’s only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you’ve predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true.

            • Riccosuave@lemmy.world
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              5 months ago

              That’s not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same…

              • TrickDacy@lemmy.world
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                5 months ago

                Yes, the braindead thing you’re saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea.