• Escaping Milton using only baby steps?

    Depends on when you started, of course. Like say, if you started last year, you’d probably be safe by now.

    Of course the point is that once you start taking baby steps, it gets easier to transition to adult steps (and to extend the metaphor further) and then eventually flying out on a jet plane. So if you start doing baby steps late it may still be enough to get out if you “grow up” fast enough.

    (BTW, don’t believe me regarding only baby steps? Well, here are my calculations:

    Comparing the map from https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/weather/2024/10/09/hurricane-milton-tracker-path-spaghetti-models/75580886007/ on Milton’s likely path and affected area, to a map of cities in the State of Georgia, it seems getting to Douglas, GA would be enough to escape successfully.

    Using Google Maps, https://maps.app.goo.gl/pdMtowAUpQ1W1nq96 , an adult walking non-stop 24/7 would be expected to make it in 7 days. First let’s double that, assuming it’s 12 hours of walking, 8 for sleep, and 4 for stuff like eating, showering, and everything else. So 14 days.

    Now reference this study, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1193922/ - so a 2 year old walks at 2/8 KM/HR or I guess 0.25 KM/HR or 1 KM in 4 hours. This is compared to the adult speed of 5 KM/HR walking. So that’s a slowdown of 20x, or that 14 days becomes 280 days.)