We shouldn’t overreact, as Berger points out none of the relevant appointments have been made. It’s still a stunning report with huge implications. Here’s the full quote:
To be clear we are *far* from anything being settled, but based on what I’m hearing it seems at least 50-50 that NASA’s Space Launch System rocket will be canceled. Not Block 1B. Not Block 2. All of it. There are other ways to get Orion to the Moon.
I’m holding out hope that SpaceX doesn’t want to do everything. They don’t want to build all the rovers, scientific instruments, one-off or low quantity satellites, space stations, surface habs, etc.
In this case, though, getting crew to and from the lunar surface is right up their alley.
But they’ll gladly take payment for it.