Id need actual numbers to make a better guess but I’ll say what I’ve been saying. People who’ve voted blue aren’t necessarily fervent Democrats. Disenfranchisement and propaganda together ended up in them staying home. I know Trump’s numbers were close to his 2020 numbers but Harris got ~7 million less than Biden did. Also, when things seem to be declining (real or perceived) it’s hard on the incumbent/ruling party.
Not the person you responded to, but some polling indicated that something like 30% of people who didn’t vote for Harris, but did vote for Biden, chose not to vote due to the genocide in Gaza. That poll indicates that maybe some of those 30% may still not have voted for other reasons, but it was the main issue polled.
https://www.imeupolicyproject.org/postelection-polling
Id need actual numbers to make a better guess but I’ll say what I’ve been saying. People who’ve voted blue aren’t necessarily fervent Democrats. Disenfranchisement and propaganda together ended up in them staying home. I know Trump’s numbers were close to his 2020 numbers but Harris got ~7 million less than Biden did. Also, when things seem to be declining (real or perceived) it’s hard on the incumbent/ruling party.
I have my own guesses, some of them align with this. Though could anyone expound further?
Not the person you responded to, but some polling indicated that something like 30% of people who didn’t vote for Harris, but did vote for Biden, chose not to vote due to the genocide in Gaza. That poll indicates that maybe some of those 30% may still not have voted for other reasons, but it was the main issue polled. https://www.imeupolicyproject.org/postelection-polling