• davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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      11 days ago

      They were never going to get into NATO. Behind closed doors, Ukraine not getting into NATO has been bipartisan consensus for a long time. And Trump is not Putin’s puppet.

      • Josey_Wales@lemm.ee
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        11 days ago

        Source for any of this? Would be interested to know more about these points.

        • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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          11 days ago

          I don’t have sources on hand for the the first point, but I do for the second.

          As for the first point, it’s been covered by the likes of John Mearsheimer, Jeffrey Sachs, Noam Chomsky, Michael Hudson, and Glenn Diesen. Some political figures have admitted as much, but unfortunately I don’t recall who off the top of my head.

          • irish_link@lemmy.world
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            11 days ago

            That’s a lot of stuff about President Trump and the elections but nothing as far as I see about the bipartisan stance that Ukraine isn’t going to join NATO.

            • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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              8 days ago

              The Hill yesterday: Zelensky: US ‘didn’t want us in NATO’ even before Trump

              The comment you missed two days ago due to defederation: https://lemmygrad.ml/comment/5979621

              You want some kind of evidence that the USA was never going to permit the Ukraine to join NATO? What would this look like?

              They dangled this carrot to start their proxy war and once it got going immediately recanted.

              Biden says it ‘remains to be seen’ whether Ukraine will be admitted to NATO

              Biden ‘looks forward’ to Ukraine NATO membership, just not now

              Russia has been consistent that NATO membership would be a declaration of war by the US/NATO, so it would mean the end of civilisation. It’s an absurd idea. As much as Russia forming a military alliance with Cuba and Mexico.

            • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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              11 days ago

              No kidding?

              I don’t have sources on hand for the the first point, but I do for the second.

              As for the first point, it’s been covered by the likes of John Mearsheimer, Jeffrey Sachs, Noam Chomsky, Michael Hudson, and Glenn Diesen. Some political figures have admitted as much, but unfortunately I don’t recall who off the top of my head.

              • irish_link@lemmy.world
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                11 days ago

                Yeah. You put about 3 times the effort on your first point but have a shit ton of sources for your second. Doesn’t add up.

                Also Robert Mueller was prevented from looking into the money trail during the investigation that’s why he found nothing. Puppet… maybe not but influenced absolutely. Why the heck would the US government do a 180 on our stance of helping Ukraine after President Trump was elected. “We will still maybe kinda possibly help you but you have to give us your rare minerals and be willing to lose land”

                This guy doesn’t want to help Americans. Only those who have tons of money. Anything to help line his pockets and his friends.

                He has shut down all information flow for health and scientific research. This means we’re sitting in the dark about potential pandemics and deadly diseases. Mpox and the strain of bird flue being the top two at the moment of many people’s list. This doesn’t even touch the measles outbreak in Texas. Measles had essentially been eradicated, but thanks for the anti-VAX push from the right We’re now dealing with something that the prior generations had worked very hard to eliminate.

                • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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                  11 days ago

                  Yeah. You put about 3 times the effort on your first point but have a shit ton of sources for your second. Doesn’t add up.

                  I didn’t put any effort in. I happened to have those articles on hand already.

              • grumpydwarf
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                11 days ago

                Ahhh, the old “Do your own research” strategy, always a classic!

                • Grapho@lemmy.ml
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                  10 days ago

                  The good old “I wasn’t taught and never in my life been interested to learn how to read sources, so I’ll pretend they’re crackpot so I don’t have to read”.

      • WatDabney@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        11 days ago

        Behind closed doors, the consensus has been that other countries don’t want to get dragged into the current war in accordance with NATO mutual defense agreements.

        But since Trump insists that he can end the war, that’s obviously not a consideration for him - by his claims, there will be nothing more standing in the way of Ukraine membership in NATO.

        Which makes this announcement that much more significant - essentially what he’s saying is that even after the main obstacle to Ukraine membership has been eliminated, the US will oppose it.

        Why?

        Because… no, Trump is not Putin’s puppet. He’s something even worse - a cringing sycophant, desperate for affirmation from his strongman idol.

        • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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          11 days ago

          Because… no, Trump is not Putin’s puppet. He’s something even worse - a cringing sycophant, desperate for affirmation from his strongman idol.

          If you keep analyzing the current administration through the lens of Jungian analysis of Trump, you’ll keep being wrong. Great man theory is no way to go about analyzing geopolitics.

  • Tyrangle@lemmy.world
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    11 days ago

    Wouldn’t this have had value as a bargaining chip in peace talks? The fact that they’re saying this now suggests that they’re about to pressure Ukraine into a truly shitty deal.

  • meowmeowbeanz
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    11 days ago

    Security guarantees? Europe’s picking up the tab while Washington cashes out. Hegseth’s “pragmatic evaluation” means funneling Europe’s GDP into Lockheed Martin’s quarterly reports. NATO’s 5% defense spending target? A $2.3 trillion shakedown disguised as collective security. The Continent’s industrial base is now a Pentagon subcontractor.

    Crimea’s gone. Zelensky’s bargaining chips? A lithium deposit map and a graveyard of Leopard tanks. The “non-NATO peacekeeping mission” is just a rebrand for EU cannon fodder patrols. Von der Leyen’s already drafting memos about “volunteer brigades” staffed by unemployed Iberian welders.

    The real “negotiated settlement”: Trump’s Mar-a-Lago membership roster now includes Rosneft executives. Europe gets to foot the bill for demining Donbas while Chevron drills the Black Sea.

    • ☆ Yσɠƚԋσʂ ☆@lemmy.ml
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      10 days ago

      The fact that Europeans bet their whole future on a politically unstable country that can completely change its entire policy every four years will never stop being hilarious.

      • meowmeowbeanz
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        10 days ago

        Europe’s gamble isn’t just hilarious; it’s tragicomic. Hitching your entire geopolitical wagon to a nation that treats foreign policy like a reality TV show is less strategy and more roulette. Every election cycle, Europe braces for the next wildcard—will it be isolationism or interventionism? Nobody knows, least of all the Americans.

        Meanwhile, the EU’s “unity” is a patchwork quilt of conflicting interests, stitched together with bureaucratic duct tape. Betting on stability from across the Atlantic while your own house is on fire? That’s not foresight; it’s delusion.

        The real punchline? Europe bankrolls this circus while Washington reaps the dividends. At this rate, they might as well start paying for campaign ads in Iowa.

  • pelikan@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    10 days ago

    Literally the same words said in December 2021 could possibly prevent:

    • invasion of Ukraine;
    • death of dozens or hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians and turning of millions of Ukrainians to refugees;
    • destruction of dozens of Ukrainian cities;
    • loss of Ukrainian territory to Russia;
    • loss of Ukrainian rare minerals to US.

    The Trump administration is just saying loud what all the other NATO governors have been hiding. No one ever planned to fight Russia for Ukraine and the only destiny for Ukrainian aboriginals is to be used as proxy cannon fodder to fight one of NATO’s bogeymen.

    NATO countries never cared about Ukraine’s casualities to the point that they decided that Ukrainian lives were worth less than a signed piece of paper with the aforementioned statement: ‘No NATO for Ukraine’. Everything that happens to the people of Ukraine is just collateral damage on the way to the main goal – to harm Russia. The colonizer mentality (so well known to many NATO countries) never changes.

  • mindbleach
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    11 days ago

    We get:

    • Nothing

    You get:

    • Less than nothing

    What a fucking great deal!

  • tiredturtle@lemmy.ml
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    10 days ago

    Under this deal, Putin gets to annex key territories while Ukraine is kept out of NATO and left without American peacekeepers, forcing Europe to buy U.S. military gear. Imperialist powers divide and weaken working people by keeping nations in chaos and under constant threat. This brief period of “peace” isn’t for long as capitalist interests allow Russia to regroup and rearm. Ukraine remains in a disordered, free-for-all state under imperialist influences. In time, this setup could let Russia launch an invasion through Odessa to connect with Transnistria.

    • davel [he/him]@lemmy.ml
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      8 days ago

      Transnistria is a thousand miles from Odessa, twice as far as St. Petersberg, and Pskov is about 400 miles away.

      Vibes, vibes, vibes.

      • tiredturtle@lemmy.ml
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        8 days ago

        Transnistria is a thousand miles from Odessa, twice as far as St. Petersberg, and Pskov is about 400 miles away.

        Vibes, vibes, vibes.

        No. The material reality is that Transnistria is roughly 100–150 km from Odessa and not the thousand miles being claimed.

        Pskov is near the Estonian border, and St. Petersburg is on the Baltic Sea. Neither of these cities is close to Moldova, so they are largely irrelevant to any invasion plans in that region.

        It’s important to rely on concrete conditions and verifiable data rather than hyperbolic claims and vibing.

  • Tm12@lemmy.ca
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    11 days ago

    Russia will eye Europe, and USA will keep eyeing Canada and Greenland.

    • Hobbes_Dent@lemmy.world
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      11 days ago

      Only a matter of time before they fabricate a reason for the public to believe and then they will invade.

      And they will believe it. He’s already saying “matter of national security”. Americans have truly abandoned us. Half of them are still just waiting for the eggs while they prepare to invade other countries to play three player RISK before they die and leave the remainder for the climate.

      • chingadera@lemmy.world
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        11 days ago

        They’re only divided by a small strait, why can’t we just stop all of the comical geopolitical attention grabs and just watch the US and Russia kiss,m

  • Grapho@lemmy.ml
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    10 days ago

    Get ready to see a wave of far right terrorist attacks on US/European soil when they realize what we’ve been ridiculed for saying from day one: they were used as cannon fodder, there was never any intention of NATO membership

    • chickentendrils@lemmy.ml
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      10 days ago

      Everyone making decisions in either country for decades has been gunning for a war in Europe or actively profiting off of this one. The war will continue as long as it can by throwing money at it unless there’s simply more to be made buying up the aftermath and installing collaborators to impose World Bank/IMF austerity for generations, or the bottom is rising up.

  • Zaktor@sopuli.xyz
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    11 days ago

    With no guarantees of safety from future aggression, why on earth would Ukraine accept such a deal? This whole war started with Russia breaking their previous peace agreement.