New Canadian election poll projects that Pierre Poilievre will lose his seat
cultmtl.com
According to a new study by EKOS, Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre is projected to lose his seat in parliament in Canada’s next federal election.

According to a new study by Ekos, Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre is projected to lose his seat in Parliament in Canada’s next federal election. Poilievre currently represents the Ottawa riding of Carleton.

The study finds the Liberals polling at 50%, followed by the Conservatives at 35% and the NDP at 7%. The Liberals are projected to win 251 seats, followed by the Conservatives with 90 seats.

According to 338Canada, the odds of a Liberal victory in the coming election are 97%.

Liberal Party leader Mark Carney now leads Pierre Poilievre in net favourability by 43 points.

  • skozzii@lemmy.ca
    11·
    1 month ago

    The Trump bootlicker will be destroyed by Trump, and Trump doesn’t even care to help even a little bit even though he could.

    Couldn’t have happened to a nicer guy.

  • Avid Amoeba@lemmy.ca
    11·
    1 month ago

    Obligatory caveat about EKOS being too optimistic about LPC. I’d like them to turn out to be correct, but for now take it with a grain of salt.

    • Rentlar@lemmy.ca
      8·
      1 month ago

      I take EKOS with an entire box of salt…

      Although they were the first to report the Liberal turnaround… 0 BQ seats projected is hard to believe…

      • Kichae@lemmy.caEnglish
        4·
        1 month ago

        Their actual numbers are not super reliable, but the trend should be fine. Their polling seems to be sensitive to changing attitudes.

        They can’t say anything definitive about any riding in the country, either. None of these weekly polls have enough samples to do something like that.

    • Voroxpete
      10·
      1 month ago

      No, in the same way that Mark Carney was not required to have a seat to be the Liberal leader.

      This is how parliamentary democracy works. “Unelected” leaders are a perfectly normal component of the system, because we vote for MPs and then the MPs decide how to govern with that mandate.

      Now, in practical terms, losing your seat is a death knell for a party leader at this scale. While nothing in our governance or party procedure would obligate him to step down, his tenure would still be measured in days at that point.