• CaptDust
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    6 hours ago

    Cruz won over Beto at 2.6%, 538 is projecting Cruz at +4% over Allred. What am I missing?

    • TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee
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      5 hours ago

      The Iowa poll is the key to this whole thing.

      The Setzer poll tosses out what past elections use as a base for their calculations. She goes off what’s happening now and it’s an extremely reliable poll.

      #VOTE!!

      • CaptDust
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        5 hours ago

        I’m going to ask this dumb question in the interest of learning: I understand and agree Setzer is solid at polling Iowa, but what does it have to do with the Texas Senate?

        • TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee
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          5 hours ago

          Polls are going off old data, not taking in account the new voters, and the Republicans dropped 30 shitty right-wing polls that skewed the data.

    • cm0002@lemmy.world
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      4 hours ago

      Can’t really trust the polls, from what I’ve been reading they’ve been overcompensating for the “Trump R factor” not to mention all the shady Republicans polls that keep dumping trash data that are all “Oh yea it’s gonna be a total Trump landslideee!!! Trust me brooo!”