• CaptDust
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    16 days ago

    Cruz won over Beto at 2.6%, 538 is projecting Cruz at +4% over Allred. What am I missing?

    • TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee
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      16 days ago

      The Iowa poll is the key to this whole thing.

      The Setzer poll tosses out what past elections use as a base for their calculations. She goes off what’s happening now and it’s an extremely reliable poll.

      #VOTE!!

      • CaptDust
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        16 days ago

        I’m going to ask this dumb question in the interest of learning: I understand and agree Setzer is solid at polling Iowa, but what does it have to do with the Texas Senate?

        • TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee
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          16 days ago

          Polls are going off old data, not taking in account the new voters, and the Republicans dropped 30 shitty right-wing polls that skewed the data.

      • CaptDust
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        16 days ago

        Cruz with a 10% lead, lol. Texans like it, I guess.

        • njm1314@lemmy.world
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          16 days ago

          Same as 2022. I’ve been saying for months that Allred was running the wrong kind of campaign. For all of his flaws Beto O’Rourke did better than any Democrat has in like the last 30 years. Instead of following that strategy of high energy and high engagement Allred ran a low energy passive campaign that spent all this energy targeting Republican and moderate voters. Insanity. In essence he ran the same tired Texas democratic party campaign as everyone else who gets their ass kicked in this state does.

    • cm0002@lemmy.world
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      16 days ago

      Can’t really trust the polls, from what I’ve been reading they’ve been overcompensating for the “Trump R factor” not to mention all the shady Republicans polls that keep dumping trash data that are all “Oh yea it’s gonna be a total Trump landslideee!!! Trust me brooo!”