• iAmTheTot
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    16 days ago

    Is that race close? I remember being optimistic before and getting dashed, so I haven’t paid attention to that one this time around.

    • cm0002@lemmy.world
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      16 days ago

      Yes, Collin Allred has apparently been hitting out of the park, way better and closer than the last D candidate to get close to unseating Ted Cruz

      • CaptDust
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        16 days ago

        Cruz won over Beto at 2.6%, 538 is projecting Cruz at +4% over Allred. What am I missing?

        • TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee
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          16 days ago

          The Iowa poll is the key to this whole thing.

          The Setzer poll tosses out what past elections use as a base for their calculations. She goes off what’s happening now and it’s an extremely reliable poll.

          #VOTE!!

          • CaptDust
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            16 days ago

            I’m going to ask this dumb question in the interest of learning: I understand and agree Setzer is solid at polling Iowa, but what does it have to do with the Texas Senate?

            • TransplantedSconie@lemm.ee
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              16 days ago

              Polls are going off old data, not taking in account the new voters, and the Republicans dropped 30 shitty right-wing polls that skewed the data.

          • CaptDust
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            16 days ago

            Cruz with a 10% lead, lol. Texans like it, I guess.

            • njm1314@lemmy.world
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              15 days ago

              Same as 2022. I’ve been saying for months that Allred was running the wrong kind of campaign. For all of his flaws Beto O’Rourke did better than any Democrat has in like the last 30 years. Instead of following that strategy of high energy and high engagement Allred ran a low energy passive campaign that spent all this energy targeting Republican and moderate voters. Insanity. In essence he ran the same tired Texas democratic party campaign as everyone else who gets their ass kicked in this state does.

        • cm0002@lemmy.world
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          16 days ago

          Can’t really trust the polls, from what I’ve been reading they’ve been overcompensating for the “Trump R factor” not to mention all the shady Republicans polls that keep dumping trash data that are all “Oh yea it’s gonna be a total Trump landslideee!!! Trust me brooo!”

        • njm1314@lemmy.world
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          16 days ago

          Beto didn’t say that during the senate race he said that during the presidential race a few years later