• HurlingDurling@lemm.ee
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      At least they aren’t doing what the big 3 do with their trucks. A mid range XLT F-150 will cost about the same as a fully decked out Tundra, and a fully decked out F-150 will set you back over $100K, but these were sold for $50-$75K just before the pandemic, so what changed? They just decided to charge more due to greed.

    • TheSanSabaSongbird@lemdro.id
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      Yeah there’s no way they’re ever going to touch the cash cow that is the Tacoma. If they had any desire to, they would have started selling the Hilux here decades ago.

    • Moderator
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      No one would buy that in the US.

        • Me too. Otherwise, I am clinging to my '99 Silverado with 8 foot bed, single bench seat, and crank windows. (And no, it’s not my daily driver. I only use it when I need to move a Big Dumb Object, which is often enough in my line of work that it’s worth it.) I’m holding out hope that someone will finally make a usable electric work truck, but that chance was never that great and seems to be getting slimmer with each passing minute.

          And before the fuckcars crowd jumps down my throat, my insurance charges me precisely $165 per year on this piece of shit, and it costs me $40 a year to keep it plated. That’s less than the cost of renting a U-Haul twice after you add on all their bullshit gotchas and fees.

          My truck is a tool. It is not a vanity item or a luxury. Not only do I not need it to have leather seats, power everything, and a moonroof – I don’t want it to, because I will just break all of that stuff and it does not do anything to actually make the vehicle useful as a truck.

              • 1847953620@lemmy.world
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                ahh, it could be the multi vehicle discount. are you doing some kind of per-mile or low-driven-miles program? 'cause any beater truck just on liability limits is still almost double a regular car policy for me

                • Nope. I have the same full coverage as my other vehicles. (I haven’t tested just how “full” it is, though.)

                  Insurers use actuarial tables and byzantine math to calculate your premiums. Possibly their magic chart just shows that my make/model/year is low risk. For grins some time, get an insurance quote on a Dodge Ram (assuming you don’t already have a Ram) and a Silverado or Sierra of the same year. I’ll bet you a penny the quote you get on your Ram will be significantly higher. Despite it functionally being the same vehicle to you and me, to an insurer the Ram is the one statistically more likely to be owned by a drunk driver and/or a moron.

                  It’s the same thing with my FZ6R. That bike has a detuned R6 engine in it and gets from 0-60 exactly as fast as an R6, but its insurance premium is like a quarter as much. But more dudebros buy and crash R6’s, and only silly old men carefully ride FZ6R’s. Or something.

  • msbeta1421@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    So basically,

    1. Banks will repossess vehicles to try and minimise losses
    2. Banks will not be able to sell those repossessed vehicles, resulting in losses
    3. Banks may become insolvent as they are unable to liquidate the vehicles
    4. Government steps in to bail them out

    New vehicle prices are not in line with their actual value, so banks are making loans that aren’t covered by the collateral. This is shit management by the banking industry. If it’s impossible to get an auto loan then vehicle prices will eventually fall as supply stacks up. Banks are feeding this cycle by being unrealistic in these loan assessments.

    • Krauerking@lemy.lol
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      But… But price only go up?
      The sky daddy book of economics says price only ever goes up and concentrated wealth is a good thing

      • sodiumbromley@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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        This is what my partner and I call a “state’s right to what” problem. The centralized wealth says that centralizing wealth is good. Centralizing wealth is good for whom, Mr. Finance?

    • Alien Nathan Edward@lemm.ee
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      1 year ago
      1. Government steps in to bail them out *with tax money taken from the people who couldn’t pay their car note in the first place

      So either banks make money or banks take money.

      • Patches
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        The people who couldn’t pay their car note in the first place usually ain’t the type making a shit ton of money. They probably pay little taxes if any.

      • msbeta1421@lemmy.world
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        Well, yes and no. It’s grey like most things in life.

        Banks and credit are a means to “grow the pie” by allowing us to factor in future value. Before banks and credit, the world was a zero sum game where one person only had because the other person had not.

        They do serve a real purpose but are only valuable when properly managed.

        • afraid_of_zombies@lemmy.world
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          Yeah that isn’t true. The world never ran on the mathusian nightmare. If it had everything would be gone by now. You see wild edible plants and wild edible animals. Also census numbers and tax revenues would have been stable. The people of the past had the same issues we had. They starved on fertile farm land, they had economic downturns, they had baby booms, farms would switch from high end cash products to cheap grains they could sustain themselves with and back again.

          Banks aren’t doing us some favor by being the engine of economic growth. Every bank you see has become a corny capitalism abomination that makes most of its money lending money to people who don’t need it, government infusions, and fees. Even the things that you can point to like financing a home ignore that it is a disease that they helped cause and they are selling the cure to.

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      4 probably won’t happen. The mortgage bailouts were a bit of a special case, because the debt was rolled into securities and spread all over the place. To my knowledge there isn’t a secondary market for auto loans, so the scope is limited to individual banks.

      What may happen is the FDIC guarantees all deposits like they did with silicon valley bank, which is less bad than a full on bailout.

    • afraid_of_zombies@lemmy.world
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      Why wouldn’t they? You said it yourself, they will get bailed out. This is classic moral hazard. Once you remove risk of lose people will make decisions that are reckless.

      • msbeta1421@lemmy.world
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        Exactly. Consequences are necessary to curb reckless behaviour. That’s why the leaders of these entities should be punished separately.

    • dangblingus@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      They won’t have to worry about selling the cars, some used car dealer will take them off their hands gladly. What the banks and the financiers will have to worry about is how to bundle all of that bad debt into CDOs. There’s a movie about this I think.

      • Patches
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        No used car dealership is going to take a 2007 Chevy Cavalier for 35k and yet that loan was approved during COVID, and subsequently repo’d.

        No dealer will ever unload that car without a huge loss.

        It’s the banks problem to sort out. Until they sell the car to a dealer - they don’t lose much. It’s all ‘in the air’ on the books. They have a 35k loan and (in theory) a 35k car.

        • CmdrShepard@lemmy.one
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          I cant imagine any reputable bank gave out a $35k loan on a $1200 car. That sounds like something a “buy here pay here” lot might so and they’ll just repo the car then resell it again.

  • malloc@lemmy.world
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    The shift towards massive vehicles (SUVs) and trucks loaded to the tits with tech junk is to blame. Auto industry sold the idea to Americans that their fat ass needs a compensator instead of psychiatric help.

    • Pasta4u@lemmy.world
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      Nah.

      It’s poor planing and over spending that is the issue. People who lease cars are on an endless cycle of never owning anything and always laying a premium.

      Just actually buy a car you can actually afford.monthly payments on and drive the car into the ground. Every car in have owned has made it at least a decade and a 150k miles. Once you are done paying off take what the monthly payment would be and out it into two banks account split 20/80. Woth the 80% being towards a new car and the 20% being for repairs.

      • TenderfootGungi@lemmy.world
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        My wife’s Honda has over 300k and still runs fine and doesn’t use oil. We put $10k aside for an emergency down payment, but every month it keeps going we are a few hundred dollars wealthier.

        • Sparlock@lemmy.world
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          I laugh at my buddies who constantly need to have new vehicle.

          Too many see their car as a measure of their worth.

          Funny thing is my wife bought herself a beat up 1980 squarebody pickup for hauling stuff around the farm and you cannot take it out anywhere without people stopping to comment it and she only paid 4k for it… Hell, we have near weekly offers from strangers to buy it off of us at a premium. I want to emphasise it is not some pavement princess it has whiskey wrinkles from past owners and plenty of rusty bits.

          • CADmonkey@lemmy.world
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            whisky wrinkles

            Love it.

            I have a most similar vehicle, a battered 12 year old F150 that started life as a Menard’s rental truck. The most notable feature about it is that it’s a long-bed, single cab truck that isn’t white. People who ride in it are either confused or enthralled with it’s lack of whiz-bang features. There are no power windows, no power locks, no keyless entry, no color touchscreen infotainment center, no CD player, and no carpet. It’s not driven every day because motorcycle, so it should hold up a long time.

        • KptnAutismus@lemmy.world
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          that’s what i’m hoping for with my 1st gen yaris, 100k and no signs of wear besides the 3 previous owners fucking up the clutch and synchronizer gears.

      • dan1101@lemm.ee
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        Exactly. I like cars so it starts to suck keeping them for 10 years but otherwise I’d be in continual car payments.

        Also taxes and insurance get cheaper as the car gets older too, so that helps.

        • Sparlock@lemmy.world
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          Wherever you live sounds like a shithole.

          At my last place where we live for over a decade we had nice patio furniture and garden tools out on the front lawn and the only time something was touched is when a neighbor borrowed it for a day. Never had so much as a little kids toy taken.

          You should hop in your car and move someplace where people don’t steal your shit. It’s easier than you think to set up in a new area ( I’ve done it multiple times in my life with less than $100 in my pocket. ) people only think they are stuck and it become a self fulfilling prophecy.

    • QuarterSwede@lemmy.world
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      Auto industry sold the idea to Americans that their fat ass needs a compensator instead of psychiatric help.

      True or not, that got a good belly laugh out of me.

  • Nobody@lemmy.world
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    People in power will squeeze and squeeze. They’ll crank up the interest rates. They want you to default on the equity. Take your payments and your car. That’s how they make their money.

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      Dealers are starting to call around. They’re acting confident but they know the market has collapsed… they’re all trying to sell the last NFT.

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        My dad found a rural lot near here where a bunch of dealers are parking inventory so they can still make it look like a shortage. One dealer still has $5k markups last I checked, but also still have the car I looked at ~5 months ago.

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          Lots are full where I am. I asked about one car a few months ago and they wouldn’t haggle. Tempted to call back and ask when they car’s lot birthday is so I can bring a cake.

  • Adalast@lemmy.world
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    So what I’m seeing is to find any way I can to short the auto lenders so when they declare bankruptcy I can finally be able to afford a car?

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    Car payments are a poverty trap. Save and pay cash for cars, it’s harder now that used prices are absurd, but it doesn’t change the math.

    • GiuseppeAndTheYeti@midwest.social
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      It’s not harder. It’s not possible for a vast majority of people. You’re telling people that are delinquent on their auto loans to “just pay cash” for used cars that are thousands of dollars. Sure you can find a beater for $800-1500 but what happens when the transmission goes or the engine throws a cylinder? Those of us with auto loans don’t have the liquidity to pay outright for a decent vehicle.

      • ryathal
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        You don’t need to drive a beater forever. At this level cars are basically worth the same you bought them for. A year of driving a 1k beater and saving 500 a month that is less than an average payment leaves you with 7k for a better car.

        • winkerjadams@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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          Minimum wage in most of the USA is $7.25. Working 40 hours a week, 4 weeks of the month is $1160 dollars before taxes and all the other bullshit. Where exactly is that $500 to save coming from?

          • ryathal
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            Most people aren’t making federal minimum wage.

          • Fredthefishlord@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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            Less than 1% of Americans make federal minimum wage. However, despite your dumb take on the amount of money Americans generally make, I strongly agree that saving $500 a month is a complete possibility for many working Americans

            • BeMoreCareful@lemdro.id
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              I don’t see why they don’t just ask their parents for money?

              It’s like people don’t even know how to take care of themselves.

            • Okay, so two years ago. Currently the cheapest two used cars in my local market are a Civic with 348,000 miles on it for $2000, and a 2010 VW with a blown engine for $3000. Even a clapped out 90’s Blazer is $5000 if it runs. That’s what’s out there on Craigslist and Facebook marketplace. Maybe I can go hang around every shady parking lot in town looking to see who’s got a lower number soaped on a window someplace, but people in the real world tend to have to work during daylight hours.

              And then: Okay, so you found one 80’s Chevy Nova that might run. You got extremely lucky. If, as the other poster suggested, you’ll treat it as disposable and plan to ditch it after a few months and “buy another,” can you do it again? That’s even less likely.

              Used car prices are still too insane for poor people to be able to count on reliably finding and scraping by with a beater.

        • CmdrShepard@lemmy.one
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          And just cross your fingers that you don’t lose your job because you’ve called in 8 times with car trouble. Buying beaters isn’t the right path for most.

      • afraid_of_zombies@lemmy.world
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        when the transmission goes or the engine throws a cylinder?

        You take the paperwork out, take the license plate off, and wave good bye to the car with “well car, I guess you are the local government’s problem now”.

    • sheogorath@lemmy.world
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      Yep, a properly maintained car can last you a long time. Thankfully used car prices in my country that are outside of the top 3 brands have very reasonable prices. My last car lasted me 18 years before we couldn’t use it anymore due to emission regulations.

    • Salad_Fries@lemmy.world
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      The best option is to ditch the car entirely… buy an ebike instead for the price of 1 car payment, or move to an area with ample sidewalks/mass transit…

      Definitely a big task, but is certainly more viable than buying a car with cash… (it most certainly was for me at least…)

      • afraid_of_zombies@lemmy.world
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        Not all of us are 23 years old, work from home, and live in hipster city. I love these alternative forms of transportation, I have a moped when I was a single and decent bicycle. It just wouldn’t be practical for me to deal with highways and picking up my kids from aftercare on an ebike.

    • CmdrShepard@lemmy.one
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      Mathematically it was much better to buy with a loan at a low rate. You’re paying less each month on a 2% APR loan when inflation is at 4-8% like it has been the past year.

      • ryathal
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        Inflation doesn’t help you on a loan unless you are actually getting Inflation level raises, otherwise you have the same amount of dollars and everything else is more expensive. Also mathematically cars go down in value, so you are paying interest on money that you lost, making that loss greater.

        That’s the whole reason this crisis exists, because Cara with 30k are being repossessed on loans with 40k in principal left.

        • CmdrShepard@lemmy.one
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          It does help when you’re comparing it to someone with a big pile of cash to buy outright versus buying with a low interest loan. That cash can be invested and give you great returns while the cost of your loan goes down with inflation.

          Even high yield savings accounts are giving ~4% interest right now with zero risk meaning someone with a 2% loan would be earning 2% interest on that cash and driving a new car while the person who bought outright is earning 0% interest while driving the same new car.

          To further demonstrate the point using an extreme example, imagine you bought a brand new car 40 years ago for an MSRP of $5,000 with a 50 year low interest loan. You’d currently be paying that $5,000 loan using 2023 dollars which are worth 209% more than they were in 1983 while the loan is fixed at 2% (or whatever). That $5,000 cash you had in 1983 is now $15,000 in your bank account while you still get the benefit of driving the car over all that time.

    • Aux@lemmy.world
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      No, remortgage your property at super low interest rate below inflation and then buy with the cash you got. This way you’re saving crap loads of money.

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        That’s even worse. Now you have your house on the line for a depreciating asset. It’s the depreciation that makes financing cars such a bad deal.

        • Aux@lemmy.world
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          Only if you want to sell your house in a few years. If not, it’s a money printing machine.

    • dangblingus@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      Debt that they can’t afford. You can get approved generally for more debt than you can feasibly make payments on. Easier for a working class schmo to get approved for a $90K truck than a $500K house.

    • CookieOfFortune@lemmy.world
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      I mean it depends on what you’re looking for. For some the ability to have all the features they want and not have any small issues are worth the premium. You can choose what you value.

      I think it’s a different argument where people buy products outside their means.

  • afraid_of_zombies@lemmy.world
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    Hopefully. Maybe I wont see so many people who make very little money driving pickups so large they can’t even park them right and then returning them 4 years later to get an even larger one.

    I have an economy car. My whole family fits it, it is already more car than I actually need. I bought it when it was 5 years old. I will repair it until the point it can no longer be repaired. At which point I will buy another reliable used economy car in cash.

    A car is not an experience, it is not a status symbol, it is not compensation for your tiny penis, it is not for showing off, it is a machine that moves humans and goods from A to B.

    I have known a retired accountant who lived in an apartment with an oversized pickup, I have known people who make $11 dollars an hour with a bright shiny pickup, I have known a small retail store manager drive around in a Hummer they got modified to look militarish-copish, homemakers with one kid with a SUV that sits 8, people on the verge of bankruptcy telling me how they will be rich restoring a mercedes from the 70s.

    • Amends1782@lemmy.ca
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      “My opinion is right any everyone else who doesn’t agree is wrong” if only it were that easy.

      Clearly not a car person. Many people enjoy their car because they think they’re cool, they enjoy them, and its how they chose to spend their money. I don’t necessarily agree but they’re entitled to their view as equally as you are to yours.

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        It’s ok if they are actually spending their own money, the issue here is that those people have no self control or financial skill as they drive a vehicle they can’t afford because the dealer happily drags then down the drain and they believe his lies.

        Dumb idiots shouldn’t be dragged down for their whole worth, people who don’t know how to money need help.

        But seeing how the average american only cares about: “muh guns, murica” i’d say good luck as a nation to fix their dumb dealers filthy tricks.

        Money doesn’t grow on trees, it needs to come from someone and that someone tends to be the tax payer when shit hits the fan.

        Stop defending your own future downfall for the sake of some minimum wage workers Hummer H1.

      • afraid_of_zombies@lemmy.world
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        Fine they are entitled to their dumbass views and I am entitled to laugh at their dumbasses when their life sucks. Which for most “sports utility vehicles” it already sucks due to micropenis.

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    My wife’s head gasket went and we had to decide do we get a new car or replace the entire engine and the fact the engine was the better option these days is just wild. Those new monthly payments are wild

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        Ya but usually to justify doing large jobs like these you gotta weigh out how much your repairs are annually and if you put more work Into a car a year than the cost of a car payment per year it use to be betrer to just get another car.

      • LifeOfChance@lemmy.world
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        Yupp. New HG for a subaru is nearly the same price as an engine and once you’re in high miles it just saves time and money doing the entire engine. The engine takes about 4h to do vs a head gasket which is about 12h. It’s stupid.

        • dual_sport_dork 🐧🗡️@lemmy.world
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          Head gaskets, plural, on a Subaru boxer engine! One on each side. The procedure for that job basically starts with step 1: Remove engine.

          So at that rate, if you have a new crate motor on hand you can skip all the shit in the middle and proceed straight to step 2: reinstall engine. It doesn’t surprise me the parts cost for an engine outweighs the labor cost for removing it plus taking it apart twice.

          I’m not sure it’s possible to get the heads out of a modern Subaru without pulling the engine. An older one where there was more room in the engine bay, maybe. But there’s too much shit in the way and the unibody and wheel arches are like 1/2" away from the tops (sides) of the heads. I’d doubt you could get a wrench on all the bolts, let alone snake the head bolts out which are like 10" long.

          • Phlogiston@lemmy.world
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            And what happens to the old engine? Does it get refurbished somewhere slow&cheap and become a crate motor for step 2 a few months down the line? Or thrown out?

            • Depends, but most likely it is either parted out or sent back to be refurbished. Failing that, it will certainly be recycled. There is a shitload of aluminum in any vaguely modern engine (like, from the 1990’s onwards) so even the shadiest of shadetree mechanics will have it melted down for cash before just chucking it in a landfill.

              Same thing happens with transmissions. It’s nearly impossible to buy a new transmission for cars that are more than a couple of years old – they’re all remanufactured by Jasper or whoever.

            • LifeOfChance@lemmy.world
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              1 year ago

              The place I’m going through will take the old engine once it’s out and refurbish it if they can or part out if the components are good. Personally I think they’ll scrap it as it’s over 150k miles

            • CmdrShepard@lemmy.one
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              1 year ago

              Yes there are companies out there that buy and refurbish engines. You give them yours as a core and they send you a ‘refurbished’ one.

          • LifeOfChance@lemmy.world
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            1 year ago

            Honestly I didn’t even know it was plural. There’s no way to work on the engine while it’s in sadly so the engine does have to be pulled, heads removed, get everything resurfaced, and since it’s out replace hard to reach components or pay the price again a few months later. Knowing what I know now I won’t be getting another vehicle like this. The old legacy models it was $1,200-$1,500 for the head gasket so when the shop said $3,000 I nearly had a heart attack. My shop did the right thing and said engine swap with a few buddies and save some serious money so that’s our plan.

        • CmdrShepard@lemmy.one
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          1 year ago

          Honestly not that surprising. It’s the same reason why electronics don’t get repaired, they just get whole new boards installed even if it’s just a single bad component. Labor costs can easily outweigh the cost of any single part.

      • 1847953620@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        head gasket on a gd Subaru boxer engine, who coulda guessed. Anyone with the power of access to a search engine. Do your research and stop buying crap, people. If the junk don’t sell, they’ll stop making it

  • Alien Nathan Edward@lemm.ee
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    1 year ago

    Where are we on the whole used car market thing? This could get wiggly if tons of people can’t pay their car note, but for at least the first few they might actually be able to sell and turn around some money. Not a ton, mind, but until recently it was a given that your car is worth less than you owe on it.

    • rosymind@leminal.space
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      1 year ago

      We were in the market for a new car about 6 months ago. I wanted to buy used, but a used version of the exact same car (except a year or two older, obviously with mileage) was roughly the same price as the new car on the lot. Needless to say we bought the new car

      • Patches
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        1 year ago

        This is because the Banks, and dealers are floating the losses.

        COVID pumped prices up so a 2015 car had a loan taken out at 35k and now it’s been repo’d. If a bank/dealer takes less than 35k then they have to write that loss on their books. So it will remain on the lot until the lots are beyond capacity.

        People were buying a 2015 car for 35k. Driving it home, calling their lender and saying because COVID they need forbearance. They drive that shit around for 6 months and then right up until it’s repossessed 90 days later. Having driven a car around for free for 9 months. Leaving the bank with a 2015 Chevy Cavalier and a loan of 35k. Ain’t nobody realistically going to pay 35k for a 2015 Chevy Cavalier.

        Even if they wanted to pay it off. Financially they couldn’t. They made $17/hr but nobody checks that. They take your word at the dealership.

        We’re going to see the 2008 of car prices for the exact same reason.

    • AngryCommieKender@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Used cars are still more expensive than their new counterparts, at least in San Diego. It’s almost cheaper to buy a classic car than a used car in many cases.

  • dangblingus@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    1 year ago

    I was looking at the amount of bad debt that Americans are in with mortgages, and with the moratorium over on student loan repayments, earlier this year it looked like another 2008 on the horizon. I never considered though that it would be the car payments getting defaulted on.

    • Patches
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      Most Loans after 2008 have a shit ton of checks and balances to make sure you really really can afford it. If you’ve gotten a mortgage since then - it has honestly felt violating.

      Those checks and balances never existed for cars.

      You tell me you make 100k and can afford a 90k car? Okay. Sign on the dotted line. Real life they make 17/hr.

  • LemmyIsFantastic@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    People should stop buying 40k vehicles and get the shitty econbox then 🤷‍♂️

    Yes, it sucks you can’t get a free loan and stretch your $700 to 6 years.

      • Mirshe@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        Shit, entry-level cars still run you $20k or better in the US, and that’s without any options. I just had to price a new car last year and literally nothing new was on the market in my area for less than $25k. Your old Toyota Tercel that you bought for $6k in the 80s doesn’t exist anymore. That brand-new Camry that’ll run for 30 years and only costs $12k is now double that, at least.

      • KptnAutismus@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        the last gen Aygo was 10K€ new.

        the current gen Aygo “X” crossover SUV replacement is 16K€.

        i would have bought one.

        sad to see toyota of all companies to stop making small cars.

      • Mike@lemmy.ml
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        1 year ago

        This is just an anecdote, not a defense or counter argument by any means. Somebody around me has figured out how to import what I think is a Suburu Sambar. It’s a micro suv/truck, and I’ve seen more than three around my area suddenly. I’ve also seen a couple of right hand drive skylines all of a sudden, so I don’t know if something has changed, but maybe importing is an option